Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 7.984453e-05 0.000093 0.000107 0.000123 0.000140 0.000158 0.000178
2025-07-13 5.694248e-05 0.000075 0.000096 0.000121 0.000150 0.000182 0.000220
2025-07-20 4.382900e-05 0.000064 0.000089 0.000120 0.000157 0.000200 0.000252
2025-07-27 3.393133e-05 0.000055 0.000082 0.000117 0.000161 0.000213 0.000278
2025-08-03 2.878630e-05 0.000051 0.000080 0.000120 0.000171 0.000233 0.000312
2025-08-10 2.337652e-05 0.000045 0.000076 0.000119 0.000176 0.000246 0.000337
2025-08-17 1.933326e-05 0.000041 0.000073 0.000119 0.000182 0.000260 0.000363
2025-08-24 1.781172e-05 0.000040 0.000075 0.000126 0.000196 0.000285 0.000403
2025-08-31 1.545447e-05 0.000038 0.000074 0.000128 0.000205 0.000303 0.000434
2025-09-07 1.367437e-05 0.000036 0.000074 0.000132 0.000214 0.000322 0.000466
2025-09-14 1.188862e-05 0.000034 0.000073 0.000134 0.000223 0.000339 0.000497
2025-09-21 9.271287e-06 0.000030 0.000068 0.000130 0.000222 0.000344 0.000512
2025-09-28 6.721524e-06 0.000026 0.000062 0.000124 0.000218 0.000345 0.000522
2025-10-05 5.213426e-06 0.000023 0.000059 0.000123 0.000221 0.000355 0.000543
2025-10-12 4.004201e-06 0.000021 0.000056 0.000121 0.000223 0.000364 0.000564
2025-10-19 2.895061e-06 0.000018 0.000053 0.000119 0.000223 0.000370 0.000580
2025-10-26 2.466818e-06 0.000017 0.000053 0.000122 0.000232 0.000389 0.000613
2025-11-02 1.836663e-06 0.000016 0.000051 0.000121 0.000235 0.000399 0.000635
2025-11-09 1.386812e-06 0.000014 0.000050 0.000121 0.000240 0.000411 0.000659
2025-11-16 1.333301e-06 0.000015 0.000052 0.000128 0.000254 0.000438 0.000704
2025-11-23 1.089535e-06 0.000014 0.000052 0.000130 0.000263 0.000455 0.000737
2025-11-30 9.204118e-07 0.000014 0.000052 0.000134 0.000272 0.000475 0.000772
2025-12-07 7.333064e-07 0.000013 0.000052 0.000136 0.000280 0.000492 0.000804